Madrid (Reuters) – The uncertainty over the independence drive in Catalonia could lead to slower economic growth and lower job creation in the next few months in Spain, the Bank of Spain said on Thursday.
If the secessionist movement intensified or dragged on it could have an effect on economic outlook and financial stability in Spain, it said.
In its November report, the Bank of Spain said that in the worst case scenario, the political uncertainty caused by an illegal secessionist drive could reduce Spanish economic growth by 2.5 per centage points between end-2017 and 2019.
However, a quick resolution of the Catalan independence drive could mitigate the risks for the Spanish economy, it added.
The government currently forecasts the euro zone’s fourth-largest economy to grow 3.1 per cent this year, but the standoff with Catalonia over its independence ambitions has prompted Madrid to slash growth projections for next year.
Spain’s Economy Minister recently said the Spanish economy could grow by more than 2.5 per cent next year just weeks after he cut 2018’s growth forecast to 2.3 due to a political crisis in the northeastern region of Catalonia.
